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Federal Reserve Economic Data | FRED | St. Louis Fed

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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

Source: Piger, Jeremy Max   Source: Chauvet, Marcelle Release: U.S. Recession Probabilities   Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Monthly Notes: Smoothed recession probabilities for the United States are obtained from a dynamic-factor mark

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Motor Vehicle Retail Sales: Heavy Weight Trucks

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis   Release: Supplemental Estimates, Motor Vehicles   Units:  Millions of Units, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate Frequency:  Monthly Notes: Heavy trucks are trucks with more than 14,000 pounds gross vehicle weight. Su

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Buffett Indicator: The percent of total market cap relative to Gross National Product?

What returns can we expect from the stock market? As of today, the Total Market Index is at $ 33006.7 billion, which is about 153.2% of the last reported GDP. The US stock market is positioned for an average annualized return of -2.9%, estimated from the h

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